Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.
RT @TalebWisdom: "The rationalist imagines an imbecile-free society; the empiricist an imbecile-proof one, or even better, a rationalist-pr…
RT @TalebWisdom: "You can easily tell a Northener: he/she feels guilty doing nothing. Even doing nothing for them is programmed, labeled, a…
RT @simongerman600: Map shows colonies of Ancient Greece and Phoenicia. Source: https://buff.ly/32sCHUT
Interesting for those of us who are both. https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/1150824855329288192
It does not mean you can't criticize a system; it means you can't go after the very foundations of the system that got you there --the Godel-Popper rule. Some minorities have minority rules. https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15?source=post_stats_page---------------------------
Friends, any questions not covered in Principia Politica? https://www.academia.edu/38433249/Principia_Politica
Even in Technical Schools, administrators have degrees in "Education" hence indocrination & propaganda. These "education experts" are taking over universities & largely responsible for the rise in costs.
Ideas of expropriation are present among educators as they are prone to social envy. They frequent the rich & feel "I am smart why I am not rich" yet have NO hope of making it on their own. It is therefore natural they indoctrinate our children. https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46
Before listening to Omar & Tlaib, consider than their parents chose to find REFUGE in the US, not another country. It's a nonrandom choice. Illegals are crossing borders in ONE direction. I myself came to America because of its properties. Preserving them is my duty.
Society is being destroyed by schools and college teachers. Your children are indocrinated by people who are doing what they are doing because of their limited intellect and practical skills. And the costs TO YOU of such indocrination are ballooning. https://twitter.com/professorf/status/1150916425868910593
RT @LebaneseAlefBet: ܒܬܰܥܪܶܦ݂ ܬܶܩܪܐ ܗܰܝܕܰܐ ܠ ܟ݂ܰܛ؟ Bta3ref teqra hayda l 5at? 👇 ܐ ܒ ܓ ܕ #ܐܬ
RT @RandPaul: Proud that @realDonaldTrump and I argued with you against endless wars! @POTUS made it clear to all of us at the table, we ar…
MATH PROBLEM DU JOUR In honor of Alexander B. who passed a year ago last week by @SamuelGWalters cc:@SvetlanaBogom13 https://twitter.com/SamuelGWalters/status/1142642280387342336
RT @jeffrey_the2nd: “My experience is that money and transactions purify relations; ideas and abstract matters like "recognition" and "cred…
RT @MarkDice: YouTube just demonetized my video about my trip to the White House! It was approved last night, and then as soon as it was p…
1) Steven Pinker misrepresented his meeting with me. I merely exchanged email & trivialities. There was NO technical discussion. So you can take with grain of salt what he says abt #epstein. Besides never diss pple who hosted you (dinner, plane).
RT @nntaleb: Practically, your excellency @EUAmbLebanon, NO village in Lebanon has an Arabic name. Ehden is from Aramaic. So are ALL other…
RT @nntaleb: Semitic Philology du Jour: Like Phoenician, Aramaic, & Hebrew, the Lebanese lang. still uses the same word (ijr, rgl) for foot…
I am nearly certain she is vegetarian, maybe even vegan. https://www.thedailybeast.com/lashana-lynch-will-play-first-female-007-in-new-james-bond-movie-report?source=twitter&via=desktop via @thedailybeast
RT @nntaleb: @EUAmbLebanon Food is Lebanon is East Med not "Arab" Traditional dress in Lebanon is East Med/Balkan not "Arab" Music in Leban…
Never never compromise. Say it the way it is.
No. It’s not by arguing with “kindness & care” that you break academic mafias, criminal organizations, impostors (psychologists) & lobbying groups. It is by exposing them, making their lives miserable & targeting their audience. Never never argue with a paid BS vendor. Gabish? https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/1150287002027397120
Unlike correlation, Mutual Information scales to noise. Shows how correlation of .63 is half the information of .795!
Practically, your excellency @EUAmbLebanon, NO village in Lebanon has an Arabic name. Ehden is from Aramaic. So are ALL other villages in the North, with the exception of a few Greco-Roman names. Let's stop this Arabism fraud. https://twitter.com/EUAmbLebanon/status/1150315616735301632
Food is Lebanon is East Med not "Arab" Traditional dress in Lebanon is East Med/Balkan not "Arab" Music in Lebanon is East Med not "Arab" Genetics in Leb are East Med not "Arab" Language in Leb is NOT mutually understandable w/Class "Arabic" When will this Arabist fraud stop?
Some philology: Ehden does not come from Paradise or Gan Eden with a (ע), but from Adon (same root as Adonis).
As to language: stop the intellectual fraud. https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c?source=post_stats_page---------------------------
RT @TalebWisdom: "To understand how something works, figure out how to break it." - @nntaleb
RT @bmiloy: @trishankkarthik @GrantSSC @hugowiz We were observing the overlap between #RWRI crowd and @SS_strength crowd. I got to SS via…
This is the very definition of anachronistic bigoteering, a violation of the code of political expression, in Principia Politica. Soon we will ban every document written between the emergence of writing in Sumer and the Obama presidency as tainded with "prejudice". https://twitter.com/AyannaPressley/status/1146788737923407872
RT @SteveLaudig: @nntaleb https://www.psychologicalscience.org/publications/observer/obsonline/textbook-analysis-uncovers-erroneous-explanations-o f-statistical-significance.html?utm_source=APS+Emails&utm_campaign=7b5b70fee3-PSU_071219&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_d2c 7283f04-7b5b70fee3-62670051
Something to thicken the plot for @Safaitic: Did Semitic languages go to Ethiopia from Eurasia/the Levant? Ethiopia is clearly a back migration, and a recent one!
RT @otrasenda_AC: @nntaleb Thank you Maestro, since you started with the IQ debunking I stop using correlación, now using Mutual Informatio…
Not how markets work. If the stock price surged on the news, it means the price (which had been pricing-in the information way before the announcement) was embedding the expectation of a more severe fine. https://twitter.com/carolecadwalla/status/1149943366848843777
Separate people into 2 categories: prostitutes vs. those who do things for love, like Maestro B. did math for love. Academics are mostly prostitutes working for rank, metrics, prestige, etc. Or playing the system a la @sapinker --- @MarcosCarreira helped & wrote an epilogue.
RT @LebaneseAlefBet: Stop Abusing the Lebanese Language, in Lebanese we say LEBNÉNIYÉ not LEBNÉNIYÍN. https://twitter.com/ChristelleNehm4/status/1145624918052225025
GENETICS (PROBABILITY) DU JOUR Points that appear equidistant in PCAs the way they are presented should not be! It you translate into Mutual information, you get a different story. A correlation of .5 is a lot closer to .4 than it is to .6 !
RT @EastMedMonitor: Nice one answering NeoOttoman false education.... I wonder what % of “Turks” in Turkey has originated from the Mongol…
RT @EastMedMonitor: My comment is not to prove anything nationalistic but to say that the people wish good neibourhood relations,peace and…
2/ Maestro B. lived for math, in a nonacademic way. He had a hearing problem & left academia to do math. Luckily he was close to finishing the book compiling the twitter probability riddles. The book is now finished; to be published thanks to @WolframResearch Pict 2 w before.
3/ Separate people into 2 categories: prostitutes vs. those who do things for love. Maestro B. did math for love; academics are mostly prostitutes working for rank, metrics, prestige, etc. Or playing the system a la @sapinker --- @MarcosCarreira helped & wrote an epilogue.
A YEAR WITHOUT MAESTRO ALEXANDER B. One Saturday morning, last July when I opened Twitter to engage Maestro Alexander Bogomolny, @CutTheKnotMath, I received a DM from his son saying he was no longer with us. Maestro had built a yuuugely motivated community around his math.
Never complain about your enemies. You can insult them, anger them, expose them, but never whine about them. Push them to complain about you.
RT @spyrosmakrid: Is there a better way to predict the next economic downturn? (see https://fortune.com/2019/07/11/economic-downturn-prediction/) By looking at the behavior of…
RT @oldmanjingles: @WilliamShatner And @nntaleb is twitter's, and the world's, most overrated. don't @ me.
RT @iosif_lazaridis: A misrepresentation of our Haak, Lazaridis et al. (2015) study @SmithsonianMag "They particularly latched onto two st…
RT @TalebWisdom: "France took Algeria, hoping for a country to eat cassoulet and instead France is now eating couscous." - @nntaleb
RT @normonics: As @nntaleb has articulated, the existence of localism is related to the identification of what it is that in fact persists.…
RT @CaseyBHead: @DanSchneiderVI A huge systemic risk that almost no one talks about, except @nntaleb.
Thanks. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1148774867791175680
RT @adam3us: @ocmmm @davthewave @TraceMayer @MadBitcoins @BitcoinErrorLog @nntaleb @saifedean "But [Bitcoins] mere existence is an insuranc…
I’ve done numerous podcasts w/@EconTalker: each one is about a specific point; you try to go as deep as possible. It’s not about the person but the narrowly defined subject matter.
Closed to podcasts; except for those with @EconTalker because it can be two-way Socratic. I learned a lot from him. & his audience is v. sophisticated. If your idea doesn’t grow from the conversation it becomes downright marketing. & painful conversation. TV lasts only 3 minutes.
Trying genetic maps: they are misinterpreted. "Linear correlation" is nonlinear to information. But a trick for rescaling works when data is Gaussian. cc @ArthurB
2) The entropy/information theory approach to correlation is mutual information, similar to Kelly criterion: How much can I bet on the value of Y knowing X? If Y certain (ρ=1), infinite. If ρ=½, tiny. All IQ psychology is worthless.
DataScience 101 #RWRI showed how elementary but nonlinear concepts like "correlation" are poorly understood by pros. One needs to translate ρ into information. See how ρ= ½ is much closer to 0 than to a ρ=1. Yuuge diff betw .9 & .99 Psychologists cluelss for 50 years. 1/n
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